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6 استراتيجيات مشتركة لحماية المحفظة
#1
6 استراتيجيات مشتركة لحماية المحفظة

1. التنويع
أحد أركان نظرية المحفظة الحديثة (MPT) هو التنويع .1 في حالة انكماش السوق ، يعتقد تلاميذ MPT أن المحفظة المتنوعة جيدًا ستتفوق على المحفظة المركزة. ينشئ المستثمرون محافظًا أعمق وأكثر تنوعًا من خلال امتلاك عدد كبير من الاستثمارات في أكثر من فئة أصول واحدة ، وبالتالي تقليل المخاطر غير المنتظمة .2 هذه هي المخاطر التي تأتي مع الاستثمار في شركة معينة. يمكن لمحافظ الأسهم التي تتضمن 12 أو 18 أو حتى 30 سهماً أن تقضي على معظم ، إن لم يكن كل ، المخاطر غير المنتظمة ، وفقًا لبعض الخبراء الماليين.


2. الأصول غير المرتبطة
نقيض المخاطر غير المنتظمة هي المخاطر المنهجية ، وهي المخاطر المرتبطة بالاستثمار في الأسواق بشكل عام. لسوء الحظ ، فإن المخاطر المنهجية موجودة دائمًا. ومع ذلك ، هناك طريقة لتقليلها ، من خلال إضافة فئات الأصول غير المرتبطة مثل السندات والسلع والعملات والعقارات إلى الأسهم في محفظتك .3 تتفاعل الأصول غير المرتبطة بشكل مختلف مع التغيرات في الأسواق مقارنة بالأسهم - في كثير من الأحيان ، تتحرك بطرق عكسية ، في الواقع. عندما يكون أحد الأصول معطلاً ، يرتفع الآخر. لذلك ، فهم يخففون من تقلب قيمة محفظتك بشكل عام.


في نهاية المطاف ، يؤدي استخدام الأصول غير المرتبطة إلى القضاء على الارتفاعات والانخفاضات في الأداء ، مما يوفر عوائد أكثر توازناً. على الأقل هذه هي النظرية.


 أصبحت هذه الاستراتيجية أكثر صعوبة في التنفيذ في السنوات الأخيرة. بعد الأزمة المالية لعام 2008 ، تميل الأصول التي كانت في السابق غير مرتبطة الآن إلى محاكاة بعضها البعض والتحرك جنبًا إلى جنب مع سوق الأوراق المالية.
3. ضع الخيارات
بين عامي 1926 و 2009 ، انخفض مؤشر S&P 500 24 من أصل 84 عامًا أو أكثر من 25 ٪ من الوقت. يقوم المستثمرون عمومًا بحماية المكاسب الصعودية من خلال جني الأرباح من الطاولة. احيانا هذا اختيار حكيم ومع ذلك ، غالبًا ما تكون الأسهم الرابحة تأخذ قسطًا من الراحة قبل الاستمرار في الارتفاع. في هذه الحالة ، لا تريد البيع ولكنك تريد تأمين بعض مكاسبك. كيف واحد يفعل هذا؟
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هناك عدة طرق متاحة. الأكثر شيوعًا هو شراء خيارات البيع ، وهو رهان على أن سعر السهم الأساسي سينخفض. بخلاف البيع على المكشوف للسهم ، يمنحك خيار البيع خيار البيع بسعر معين عند نقطة معينة في المستقبل.


على سبيل المثال ، لنفترض أنك تمتلك 100 سهم من الشركة "أ" ، والتي ارتفعت بنسبة 80٪ في عام واحد ويتم تداولها الآن بسعر 100 دولار. أنت مقتنع بأن مستقبله ممتاز ولكن السهم ارتفع بسرعة كبيرة ومن المرجح أن تنخفض قيمته على المدى القريب. لحماية أرباحك ، يمكنك شراء خيار بيع واحد للشركة "أ" مع تاريخ انتهاء صلاحية ستة أشهر في المستقبل بسعر إضراب 105 دولارات ، أو قليلاً من المال. تبلغ تكلفة شراء هذا الخيار 600 دولار أو 6 دولارات لكل سهم ، مما يمنحك الحق في بيع 100 سهم من الشركة "أ" بسعر 105 دولارات في وقت ما قبل انتهاء صلاحيتها خلال ستة أشهر.

إذا انخفض السهم إلى 90 دولارًا ، فسترتفع تكلفة شراء خيار البيع بشكل ملحوظ. في هذه المرحلة ، تقوم ببيع الخيار لتحقيق ربح لتعويض الانخفاض في سعر السهم. يمكن للمستثمرين الذين يبحثون عن حماية طويلة الأجل شراء الأوراق المالية التوقعية للأسهم طويلة الأجل (LEAPS) بشروط تصل إلى ثلاث سنوات.

من المهم أن تتذكر أنك لا تحاول بالضرورة جني الأموال من الخيارات ولكنك تحاول بدلاً من ذلك ضمان عدم تحول أرباحك غير المحققة إلى خسائر. يمكن للمستثمرين المهتمين بحماية محافظهم بالكامل بدلاً من سهم معين شراء مؤشر LEAPS الذي يعمل بنفس الطريقة.
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4. وقف الخسائر
أوامر وقف الخسارة تحمي من هبوط أسعار الأسهم. 5 هناك عدة أنواع من التوقفات التي يمكنك استخدامها. تتضمن التوقفات الصعبة بدء بيع سهم بسعر ثابت لا يتغير. على سبيل المثال ، عندما تشتري سهم الشركة "أ" مقابل 10 دولارات لكل سهم بإيقاف ثابت قدره 9 دولارات ، يتم بيع السهم تلقائيًا إذا انخفض السعر إلى 9 دولارات.

يختلف أمر وقف الخسارة المتحرك من حيث أنه يتحرك مع سعر السهم ويمكن تعيينه من حيث الدولارات أو النسب المئوية. باستخدام المثال السابق ، لنفترض أنك قمت بتعيين أمر إيقاف متحرك بنسبة 10٪. إذا ارتفع السهم بمقدار 2 دولار ، فسوف يتحرك وقف الخسارة المتحرك من 9 دولارات أمريكية إلى 10.80 دولارًا أمريكيًا. إذا انخفض السهم بعد ذلك إلى 10.50 دولارات ، باستخدام نقطة توقف ثابتة قدرها 9 دولارات ، فستظل تملك السهم. في حالة الإيقاف المتحرك ، سيتم بيع أسهمك عند $ 10.80. ما سيحدث بعد ذلك يحدد أيهما أكثر فائدة. إذا انخفض سعر السهم بعد ذلك إلى 9 دولارات من 10.50 دولارات ، فإن وقف الخسارة المتحرك هو الفائز. ومع ذلك ، إذا انتقلت إلى 15 دولارًا ، فإن التوقف الصعب هو أفضل خيار.

يعتقد أنصار وقف الخسائر أنهم يحمونك من الأسواق المتغيرة بسرعة. يقترح المعارضون أن كلا من نقاط الوقف الثابتة والمتحركة تجعل الخسائر المؤقتة دائمة. لهذا السبب ، يجب أن يتم التخطيط جيدًا للتوقف من أي نوع.

5. توزيعات الأرباح
ربما يكون الاستثمار في الأسهم الموزعة للأرباح الطريقة الأقل شهرة لحماية محفظتك.
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